Our
general purpose is to support the use of known-biomass production
models (KBPMs), illustrating their usefulness by addressing the
evolution of surplus production (SP) over time and the factors affecting
it (e.g. environment). We also demonstrate the utility of KBPMs for
multispecies management objectives or for estimating maximum sustainable
yield reference points without a stock recruitment function, among
other worthwhile applications. To do so, we present different uses of
KBPMs, illustrating their application on demersal species in the
International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) area,
specifically for megrim, white anglerfish and European hake stocks. The
proposed analytical approach involved fitting single-species and
multispecies KBPMs, conducting retrospective analyses and assessing the
effects of environmental variability on SP. The findings show that, in
general, stock SP increased after a decline in biomass and SP, except
for white anglerfish in the southern area. Megrim stocks are the least
productive, while hake and northern anglerfish are the most productive.
Retrospective analysis revealed SP shifts in northern hake stock for
reasons other than biomass variability. Hence, the North Atlantic
Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), two key
climate variability modes in the North Atlantic, were tested for their
links to SP, revealing a positive connection between SP and AMO,
although further research is necessary. Beyond the specific results of
our particular KBPM application, our main conclusion is that KBPMs can
serve as a tool complementary to more complex assessment models for
resolving unaddressed issues and crosschecking available assessment
results. |